Trajectories of Social Evolution

Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2022. – 360 pp.
Ed. by L. E. Grinin and A. V. Korotayev.
ISBN 978-5-7057-6147-0
Editorial Council:

H. Barry III (USA), Yu. Е. Berezkin (Russia), M. L. Butovskaya (Russia), Ch. Chase-Dunn (USA), V. V. Chernykh (Russia), H. J. M. Claessen (Netherlands), D. Christian (Australia), S. Gavrilets (USA), А. V. Dybo (Russia), K. Yu. Es'kov (Russia), I. V. Ilyin (Russia), P. Herrmann (Ireland), A. A. Kazankov (Russia), G. G. Malinetsky (Russia), A. V. Markov (Russia), A. Yu. Militarev (Russia), M. V. Mina (Russia), V. de Munck (USA), E. B. Naymark (Russia), A. D. Panov (Russia), Zh. I. Reznikova (Russia), B. H. Rodrigue (USA), P. Skalník (Czech Republic), F. Spier (Netherlands).

The present volume is the eighth issue of the ‘Evolution’ Yearbook series. Our Yearbooks are designed to present to its readers the widest possible spectrum of subjects and issues: from universal evolutionism to the analysis of particular evolutionary regularities in the development of bio-logical, abiotic, and social systems, culture, cognition, language, etc. The main objective of our Yearbook is the creation of a unified interdisciplinary field of research, within which scientists specializing in different disciplines could work within the framework of unified or similar paradigms, using common terminology and searching for common rules, tendencies and regularities. Global evolution (in connection with the Big History) becomes the main subject of our Yearbook. We strive to arrange each issue in such a way that the line from cosmic evolution to the human future is evident. However, in this case we focus only on the social branch of evolution.

The title of this issue is Trajectories of Social Evolution. Therefore, we explore a very interesting and somewhat even mysterious phenomenon – Singularity, i.e. in other words, a certain point of time at which many processes sharply change their directions and characteristics.

The volume consists of three sections: ‘Political Aspects of Social Evolution’; ‘Contemporary Level of Evolution and Its Future Projections’; and ‘Singularity as Trend and the Future’.

This Yearbook will be useful both for those who study interdisciplinary macroproblems and for specialists working in focused directions, as well as for those who are interested in evolutionary issues of Cosmology, Biology, History, Anthropology, Economics and other areas of study. More than that, this edition will challenge and excite your vision of your own life and the new discoveries going on around us.



Alexander D. Panov, David J. LePoire, Andrey V. Korotayev, and Leonid E. Grinin

Introduction. Evolution and Singularity (Full text)

I. Political Aspects of Social Evolution

Sergey V. Dobrolyubov

The Two-Factor Model of the Society's Life Span for an Attempt to Reconcile Evolutionary Contradictions (Full text

Leonid E. Grinin, and Andrey V. Korotayev

Alternatives of Social Evolution at the Societal Level of Medium Complexity: Chiefdoms and Their Analogues (Full text)

Leonid E. Grinin

Complex Chiefdoms vs Early States: The Evolutionary Perspective (Full text)

II. Contemporary Level of Evolution and Its Future Projections

Marc Widdowson

From Covid-19 to Zero-Gravity: Complex Crises and Production Revolutions (Full text)

David Lempert

The Logic of Cultural Suicide and Application to Contemporary Global Strategies: Drawing from Models in Psychology and Biology (Full text)

Anton L. Grinin and Leonid E. Grinin

Cyborgization: To Be or not to Be? (Full text)


III. Singularity as Trend and the Future

David J. LePoire

A Potential Simple Analogous Heat Flow System to Explore Big History's Singularity Trend (Full text)

José Díez Faixat

Non-Dual Singularity (Full text)

Sergey V. Tsirel

Technological Achievements of the Future as the Path of Destruction of Habitual Human Society (Full text)

Leonid E. Grinin, Anton L. Grinin, and Andrey V. Korotayev

The Cybernetic Revolution and Singularity (Full text)