Kondratieff waves

Kondratieff waves

The Spectrum of Opinions

Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2019. – 232 pp.
Edited by Leonid E. Grinin, Andrey V. Korotayev
ISBN 978-5-7057-5740-4
Editorial Council:

Askar A. Akaev (Russia – Kyrghyzstan), Brian J. L. Berry (USA), Valentina M. Bondarenko (Russia), Tessaleno C. Devezas (Portugal), Claude Diebolt (France), Sergey Yu. Glazyev (Russia), Ruslan S. Grinberg (Russia), Bert de Groot (the Netherlands), Masaaki Hirooka (Japan), Boris N. Ku- zyk (Russia), Witold Kwasnicki (Poland), Francisco Louçã (Portugal), Vladi-mir I. Mayevsky (Russia), Leo Nefiodow (Germany), Carlota Perez (Venezuela – UK), Sanjay Prasad (India), Arno Tausch (Austria), William R. Thompson (USA), Andrew B. Tylecote (UK), Yuri V. Yakovets (Russia)

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This fourth issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ has the subtitle ‘The Spectrum of Opinions’, as its papers cover a whole range of problems. The Yearbook consists of three sections. The Introduction of this issue is dedicated to Nikolai Kondratieff's ideas which still are important to an analysis of the world economic situation. The first section (Long Waves in the Context of World Economy and Politics) includes five contributions devoted to the study of different spheres from economy to jihadism. The speeches of Kondratieff medal laureates are published in the second section (Kondratieff Medal: Winners' Speeches). It presents a very impressive collection of different views of well-known and young researchers. The last section (Reviews and Notes) includes Antony Harper's review of Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev and Arno Tausch's monograph ‘Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery’ published by Springer International Publishing.

This issue will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization.

Contents


Introduction. The Heritage of N. D. Kondratieff in the Context of Modern Problems of the World Economy (Full text)

5

I. Long Waves in the Context of World Economy and Politics


Brian J. L. Berry,
Denis J. Dean,
Euel Elliott       

Jihadism on the Long-Wave Clock (Full text)

15

Andrea Komlosy

Crises, Long Waves and World-System Analysis (Full text)

28

Leonid E. Grinin,
Andrey V. Korotayev 

The Inflationary and Deflationary Trends in the Global Economy in the Light of the Long Cycles' Theory  (Full text)

55

Stephen I. Ternyik     

The Supreme Kondratieff: Exponentiality, Teleology and the DNA of Economic History (The Future Balance of Wealth and Health) (Full text)

88

Leonid E. Grinin

Kondratieff Waves, Technological Modes, and the Theory of Production Revolutions  (Full text)

95

II. Kondratieff Medal: Winners' Speeches

Fred Phillips

Multiplicity and Divergence Challenge the Social Sciences (Full text)

Gold medal

145

Brian J. L. Berry   

From Patterns in Space to Rhythms in Time: A Personal Odyssey (Full text)

Silver medal

153

Ibrahim Fraihat

A Journey of Knowledge: When Theory, Research, and Practice Met, I Became Who I Am (Full text)

Bronze medal

159

Valentina
M. Bondarenko  

The Intellectual Potential of a New Methodological Approach to the Cognition of the Future and Formation of the Strategy for Its Achievement (Full text)

Gold medal

165

Pavel A. Minakir

Crisis: Economic or Institutional? (Full text)

Gold medal

169

Vil K. Nusratullin

The Theoretical and Methodological Foundations of the New Scientific Paradigm for Solving the Social and Economic Problems of Modernity (Full text)

Silver medal 

178

Mikhail N. Dudin

Strategic Management of Sustainable Development of Business Entities, Taking into Account the Kondratieff – Schumpeter Cycles (in Terms of the Wave Nature of the Innovative Economy) (Full text)

Bronze medal

188

Svetlana
Yu. Rumyantseva

Long Waves and Other Economic Cycles: Navigation Prospects (Full text)

Bronze medal

193

Anton L. Grinin   

The Possibilities of the Kondratieff Long Wave Theory in Forecasting of a New Technological Revolution (Full text)

Commemorative medal

200

Violetta
V. Arkhipova

The Effects of World Capital Flows: Genesis and Distribution of Crisis Processes (Full text)

Commemorative medal 

204

Olga
O. Komarevtseva

On Some Directions for the Development of the Russian Economy (Full text)

Commemorative medal


211

Tatiana
S. Malakhova  

The Transformation of the World Economy in the Context of Global Instability (Full text)

Commemorative medal

213

Andrey
E. Kozlov

Forecasting of the Enterprise's Social and Economic Potential (Full text)

Commemorative medal

218

III. Reviews and Notes

Antony    
Harper         

Clarity in the Face of Immense World-System Comp-lexity and Crisis. Review of L. E. Grinin, A. V. Korota-yev, and Arno Tausch ‘Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery’, Springer International Publishing; 2016 (Full text)

220

Contributors (Full text)                                                                                                                                 227

Guidelines (Full text)                                                                                                                                     231



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