Kondratieff waves

Kondratieff waves

Processes, Cycles, Triggers, and Technological Paradigms

Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2022. – 208 pp.
Edited by Leonid E. Grinin, Andrey V. Korotayev
ISBN 978-5-7057-6191-3
Editorial Council:

Askar A. Akaev (Russia – Kyrghyzstan), Brian J. L. Berry (USA), Valentina M. Bondarenko (Russia), Tessaleno C. Devezas (Portugal), Claude Diebolt (France), Sergey Yu. Glazyev (Russia), Ruslan S. Grinberg (Russia), Bert de Groot (the Netherlands), Masaaki Hirooka (Japan), Boris N. Ku- zyk (Russia), Witold Kwasnicki (Poland), Francisco Louçã (Portugal), Vladi-mir I. Mayevsky (Russia), Leo Nefiodow (Germany), Carlota Perez (Venezuela – UK), Sanjay Prasad (India), Arno Tausch (Austria), William R. Thompson (USA), Andrew B. Tylecote (UK), Yuri V. Yakovets (Russia) 

March 17, 2022, marks the 130th anniversary of Nikolai Kondratieff's birth. In addition, this year also marks the centenary of the publication of his monograph The World Economy and Its Conjunctures During and After War (1922), where he first formulated the idea of long cycles, which later became known as Kondratieff cycles, or Kondratieff waves (or just K-waves). Since then, the issues of the mechanisms generating economic long waves (cycles), the causes of the regularity of the alternation of Kondratieff upswings and downswings and the relative stability of the K-cycle period have become very interesting subjects for many researchers in the field of economics and social sciences. In fact, the study of K-wave dynamics has become a special field of interdisciplinary research, which, of course, shows the great importance of the further research on the K-wave phenomenon.

This sixth issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ has the subtitle ‘Processes, Cycles, Triggers, and Technological Paradigms’. Its papers cover some interesting aspects of long-wave dynamics both in historical trends and theoretical researches. The Yearbook consists of three sections. The first section (Processes and Cycles) includes four contributions. Most of them are devoted to long cycles. The second section (Kondratieff Medal 2020: Winners' Speeches) presents six articles of N. D. Kondratieff medal laureates. The final section (Essays and Reviews) includes four articles devoted to the first, second, and third technological paradigms interrelated with the first, second, and third Kondratieff waves. It also includes George Lawson's review of Handbook of New Waves of Revolutions in the 21st Century: The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change published by Springer International Publishing.

This issue will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization.


Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev

Introduction. On Nikolai Kondratieff's Anniversaries and Legacy (Full text)



 I. Processes and Cycles 


David J. LePoire

Long-Term Dynamics of Ruling Structures in the West, China, and Russia (Full text)



Edward Lewis

The Paradigm Shift Cycle as the Cause of the Kondratieff Wave (Full text)


Marc Widdowson

Discovery Processes and the Kondratieff Cycle: Mathematical Principles (Full text)


Leonid E. Grinin,Anton L. Grinin, and Andrey V. Korotayev

Does Covid-19 Accelerate the Cybernetic Revolution and Transition from E-Government to E-State? (Full text)


 II. Kondratieff Medal 2020: Winners' Speeches 

Zhan T. Toshchenko


The Society of Trauma as the Third Modality of Social Development (Experience of Interdisciplinary Research) (Full text)

Gold medal 


Fedor A. Smirnov


Building a Multidisciplinary Discourse – the Way to the High-Technology Future of the Planet (Full text)

Silver medal 


Tatyana Yu. Yakovets


Prospects for Overcoming the Socio-Demographic Crisis Based on the Social Doctrine of Russia (Full text)

Bronze medal 


Stanislav E. Bilyuga



Mathematical Modeling of Socio-Political Destabilization of the States in the Context of Globalization (Full text)

Commemorative medal for young researchers


Konstantin A. Kudryavtsev


Antimonopoly Regulation System as a Driver for Ensuring the Economic Security of Russia's Product Markets (Full text)

Commemorative medal for young researchers


Marina G. Treyman


Improvement of the Innovative Approaches to the Development of Environmental, Economic, Social, and Logistics Systems (Full text)

Commemorative medal for young researchers


III. Essays and Reviews

Leonid E. Grinin

The Concept of Technological Modes/Paradigms: Introduction (Full text)


Leonid E. Grinin

The First Technological Paradigm (Full text)


Leonid E. Grinin

The Second Technological Paradigm (Full text)


Leonid E. Grinin

The Third Technological Paradigm (Full text)


George Lawson

Revolutions in the Contemporary World. A Review of ‘Handbook of New Waves of Revolutions in the 21st Century: The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change’ by Jack Goldstone, Leonid Grinin, and Andrey Korotayev (Eds.), Springer International Publishing, 2022 (Full text)